Iran aims to restore majority of refining capacity within two months

Iran’s oil ministry said it aims to bring most of the refining and distribution facilities damaged in recent strikes back to service within a short timeframe. Deputy Minister of Oil Mohammad Sadeq Azimifar told local media that repair work has begun and that the target is to restore roughly 70–80% of pre-attack capacity within one to two months.

Officials singled out the Lavan refinery as an early priority, with part of the plant expected to restart in about 10 days while other units are returned to operation gradually. Azimifar’s comments were carried by the Student News Network (SNN) and amplified through international wires, providing the first clear short-term timetable from Tehran on refinery restoration.

Markets are likely to react to these repair timelines with cautious relief: while a faster-than-expected recovery of refining capacity could ease immediate product shortages, global oil markets remain sensitive to geopolitical risks and disruptions in shipping routes. Analysts note that restoring refinery throughput will help narrow some local supply gaps, but overall market volatility may persist until security in the Strait of Hormuz and related logistics normalise.

The announcement underscores Tehran’s push to stabilise energy infrastructure and minimise the economic fallout from attacks. Rapid repairs depend on available spare parts, workforce access and secure transport corridors; sanctions and insurance considerations can complicate procurement and international assistance. Consequently, a successful restoration effort would not only support domestic fuel supply but also influence regional energy dynamics.

Looking ahead, investors and industry watchers will monitor the actual reactivation schedule of key refineries and subsequent fuel product flows. If Iran meets the one- to two-month target, pressure on refined product markets could ease, but any delays or renewed hostilities would quickly re-introduce a risk premium into oil prices. Key indicators to watch are the operational status of Lavan and other major refineries, maritime security updates, and near-term crude and refined product price moves.